Can Learning Constituency Opinion Affect How Legislators Vote? Results from a Field Experiment
Daniel M. Butler, Department of Political Science, Yale University, USA, firstname.lastname@example.org
David W. Nickerson, 2Department of Political Science, University of Notre Dame, USA, email@example.com
Daniel M. Butler and David W. Nickerson (2011), "Can Learning Constituency Opinion Affect How Legislators Vote? Results from a Field Experiment", Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 6: No. 1, pp 55-83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00011019
Experiment During New Mexico's 2008 Special Legislative Session
Expectations: The Heterogeneous Treatment Effect of Learning Public Opinion
When legislators are uninformed about public opinion, does learning constituents' opinion affect how legislators vote? We conducted a fully randomized field experiment to answer this question. We surveyed 10,690 New Mexicans about the Governor's spending proposals for a special summer session held in the summer of 2008. District-specific survey results were then shared with a randomly selected half of the legislature. The legislators receiving their district-specific survey results were much more likely to vote in line with constituent opinion than those who did not. Our results suggest that legislators want to be more responsive to public opinion than they are in their natural state and can be if given solid information about constituent beliefs.