Quarterly Journal of Political Science > Vol 8 > Issue 2

Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout: Evidence from Compulsory Voting in Australia

Anthony Fowler, Department of Government, Harvard University, USA, fowler@fas.harvard.edu
 
Suggested Citation
Anthony Fowler (2013), "Electoral and Policy Consequences of Voter Turnout: Evidence from Compulsory Voting in Australia", Quarterly Journal of Political Science: Vol. 8: No. 2, pp 159-182. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.00012055

Published: 25 Feb 2013
© 2013 A. Fowler
 
Subjects
Panel data,  Voting behavior,  Political economy,  Elections
 

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In this article:
1 Compulsory Voting in Australia
2 Who Voted in Australia before Compulsory Voting?
3 The Effects of Compulsory Voting in State Assembly Elections
4 The Effects of Compulsory Voting on Public Policies
5 Discussion of Alternative Explanations
6 Discussion and Conclusion
References

Abstract

Despite extensive research on voting, there is little evidence connecting turnout to tangible outcomes. Would election results and public policy be different if everyone voted? The adoption of compulsory voting in Australia provides a rare opportunity to address this question. First, I collect two novel data sources to assess the extent of turnout inequality in Australia before compulsory voting. Overwhelmingly, wealthy citizens voted more than their working-class counterparts. Next, exploiting the differential adoption of compulsory voting across states, I find that the policy increased voter turnout by 24 percentage points which in turn increased the vote shares and seat shares of the Labor Party by 7–10 percentage points. Finally, comparing across OECD countries, I find that Australia's adoption of compulsory voting significantly increased turnout and pension spending at the national level. Results suggest that democracies with voluntary voting do not represent the preferences of all citizens. Instead, increased voter turnout can dramatically alter election outcomes and resulting public policies.

DOI:10.1561/100.00012055

Replication Data | 100.00012055_supp.zip (ZIP).

This file contains the data that is required to replicate the data on your own system.

DOI: 10.1561/100.00012055_supp

Online Appendix | 100.00012055_app.zip (ZIP).

This is the article's accompanying appendix.

DOI: 10.1561/100.00012055_app