Critical Finance Review > Vol 5 > Issue 1

Market Reactions to Tangible and Intangible Information Revisited

Joseph Gerakos, University of Chicago Booth School of Business, USA, joseph.gerakos@chicagobooth.edu Juhani T. Linnainmaa, University of Chicago Booth School of Business and NBER, USA, juhani.linnainmaa@chicagobooth.edu
 
Suggested Citation
Joseph Gerakos and Juhani T. Linnainmaa (2016), "Market Reactions to Tangible and Intangible Information Revisited", Critical Finance Review: Vol. 5: No. 1, pp 135-163. http://dx.doi.org/10.1561/104.00000030

Published: 12 May 2016
© 2016 J. Gerakos and J. T. Linnainmaa
 
Subjects
 
Keywords
G12G14
Value premiumReturn reversalsOverreaction
 

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In this article:
1. Introduction
2. Daniel and Titman (2006) Decomposition
3. Data
4. An Analysis of Book Returns
5. Fama and French (2008) Decomposition, Net Issuances, and Dividends
6. Intangible Information and the Cross-section of Average Returns
7. Conclusions
References

Abstract

Daniel and Titman (2006) propose that the value premium is due to investors overreacting to intangible information. They therefore decompose five-year changes in firms’ book-to-market ratios into stock returns and a residual that is a proxy for tangible information based on accounting performance (“book returns”). Consistent with investors overreacting to intangible information, they find that only stock returns orthogonal to book returns reverse. We show that their decomposition creates a book return polluted by past book-to-market ratios, stock returns, net issuances, and dividends. Empirically, twofifths of the variation in book returns is due to these factors. In addition, the Daniel and Titman (2006) result is sensitive to methodological choices. When we use the change in the book value of equity as a proxy for tangible information, only the tangible component of stock returns reverses. Moreover, current book-to-market subsumes the intangible return’s power to predict the cross-section of average returns, which casts doubt on the argument that book-to-market forecasts returns because it is a good proxy for the intangible return.

DOI:10.1561/104.00000030

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DOI: 10.1561/104.00000030_supp